In today's Washington Post, political analysts Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake argue just like most polls showing a tight race, the electoral college is also narrow thing, throwing a slight lead to incumbent, President Obama. However, eight states are still defined as "toss-up"- Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Ohio, Florida, and New Hampshire, for Obama winning some but not all of these states would push him over the 270 mark, while Romney would need to win the majority of the "toss-up" states to get to 270.
Read the full article here.
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Courtesy of NASE.org https://www.nase.org/about-us/media-relations/nase-in-the-news/2012/09/12/Regardless_of_Polls_Electoral_College_Holds_Path_to_Victory